Probable-Mix
0x1b14a7dd61277bf31893e0ddba144aec254bf134
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$21.54
Total PnL
$-0.90
Realised
$-0.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?
10 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$10.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on October 31?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$7.93
$0.01
- NO
5kt meteor strike in 2025?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Israel military action against Iran before July?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jeff Bezos be richest person on October 31?$518.96Oct 21, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeff Bezos be richest person on October 31?$527.40Oct 20, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?$10.00Oct 20, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?$1.03Oct 20, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?$1.03Oct 20, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?$2.05Oct 20, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBird flu vaccine in 2025?$1.00Oct 2, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?$1.00Oct 2, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?$1.00Oct 2, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY5kt meteor strike in 2025?$1.00Oct 2, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.08Oct 2, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Thunder$1.20Oct 2, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMDvalishvili vs. O'Malley$1.43Oct 2, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran before July?$1.00Jun 8, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?$2.00Jun 8, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYDvalishvili vs. O'Malley$1.00Jun 8, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Thunder$1.00Jun 8, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$3.16Jun 8, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Jun 8, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on April 30?$0.00Jun 8, 01:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $26.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 02:21 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 21, 13:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.