0x1b17cf41cbe629e908f966eb418d56c405aa5aa8
0x1b17cf41cbe629e908f966eb418d56c405aa5aa8
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.65
Total PnL
$-5.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 75.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-17?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.15
$-0.85
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-17?$1.00Jan 17, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 17, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?$2.00Jan 17, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AFD be part of the next German government?$1.10Jan 17, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.11Jan 17, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Aug 16, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.00Aug 16, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win La Liga?$3.17Aug 16, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$3.70May 1, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$6.67May 1, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?$0.00Jan 21, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AFD be part of the next German government?$1.00Jan 21, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?$2.56Jan 21, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden finish his term?$4.17Jan 21, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?$1.43Jan 21, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$2.00Jan 14, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.00Jan 9, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?$1.00Jan 9, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMGerman Bundestag dissolved in 2024?$3.57Jan 3, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$3.00Dec 18, 13:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 09:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 11:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".