0x1b2150537cc6c835a0bfebebb317e1faee81ab5d
0x1b2150537cc6c835a0bfebebb317e1faee81ab5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$4.00
Total PnL
$2.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.84Jun 25, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04Jun 25, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.98Jun 25, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.25Jun 25, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.84Jun 25, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04Jun 25, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.67Jun 25, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.09Jun 25, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$0.74Jun 10, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.02Jun 10, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.29Jun 10, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$2.15Jun 10, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$0.54Jun 10, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.04Jun 10, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$2.09Jun 4, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 10:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.