Smooth-Copy-Abbreviation
0x1b280c0c6e2ad178ad944ad6570c7d68c1818491
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-544.56
Realised
$-16.30
Win rate
2%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
194 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-106.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
178 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
144 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
120 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-49.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
72 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.42Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$7.67Jul 9, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$5.22Jul 9, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$609.20Jul 9, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$587.05Jul 9, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$587.46Jul 9, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$577.21Jul 9, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$0.00Jul 9, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$577.65Jul 9, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$495.20Jul 9, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$494.95Jul 9, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$490.34Jul 9, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$825.19Jul 9, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$621.47Jul 9, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$620.04Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$610.74Jul 9, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$612.53Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$549.21Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$490.82Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 41 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
41 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $483.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 15:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.