Specific-Texture
0x1b2a0b749ce4f4bdbeb41eb8ee8f90163deee6f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-113.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 15?
275 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.85
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on January 16?
274 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 12?
269 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.76
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 13?
265 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on January 5?
254 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 8?
249 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 January 12-18?
244 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 2AM ET
243 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- YES
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?
236 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 19?
226 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 22?$1.53Jul 21, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 15?$1.79Jul 14, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 2?$102.00Jul 2, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 2?$99.96Jul 1, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?$1.76May 31, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$76.95May 28, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$75.18May 28, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on March 31?$23.19May 11, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ET$59.98May 2, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 25, 10PM ET$58.54Apr 26, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down on April 6?$76.77Apr 26, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 3?$0.00Apr 14, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down on April 6?$74.39Apr 6, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?$64.17Apr 6, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?$62.95Apr 6, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?$1.44Apr 5, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of March 30 2026?$68.00Apr 5, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of March 30 2026?$65.96Apr 3, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 3?$1.67Apr 3, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on March 29?$74.18Apr 3, 00:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $25.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 22:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 17:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.