Burdensome-Sugar
0x1b2c282565d67e63feaf2af7d61cb60cf8199088
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$16.91
Total PnL
$-29.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
7 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$6.70
$0.18
- NO
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.84
$0.44
- NO
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
3 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.67
$0.07
- NO
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.15
$0.05
- NO
US strike on Colombia by January 31?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.12
$0.01
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
3 shares @ 94.1¢·now 14.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.43
$-2.47
- YES
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$1.33Jan 25, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.83Jan 25, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by January 31?$1.11Jan 20, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$2.61Jan 20, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?$1.10Jan 20, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$2.60Jan 20, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$2.31Jan 20, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $2.91Jan 20, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.90Jan 20, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?$2.50Jan 20, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$1.61Jan 20, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMSharks vs. Kraken$0.00Dec 14, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Magic$23.18Dec 14, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$1.31Nov 8, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Magic$13.00Nov 6, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Cavaliers$1.7KNov 6, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.0KNov 5, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Cavaliers$1.3KNov 5, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSharks vs. Kraken$3.7KNov 4, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?$5.00Nov 1, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $381.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 06:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.