Wide-Freak
0x1b31372b2f050a8a21a694005c13d3599846852c
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$117.65
Total PnL
$-512.39
Realised
$-41.68
Win rate
0%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix?
130 shares @ 69.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$117.65
$26.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 4?
425 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 4?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 18?
300 shares @ 61.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.00
$-183.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 4?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?
138 shares @ 57.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-78.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4?
120 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-17.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C or higher on August 3?
110 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?$20.09Aug 21, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?$0.05Aug 21, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?$5.54Aug 21, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?$4.28Aug 21, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?$10.00Aug 21, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 21?$0.02Aug 21, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 21?$0.01Aug 21, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 21?$0.03Aug 21, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 21?$0.03Aug 21, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 21?$0.03Aug 21, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?$0.01Aug 21, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?$16.71Aug 21, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?$51.00Aug 21, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?$1.00Aug 21, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?$22.90Aug 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21?$4.09Aug 21, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21?$30.91Aug 21, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21?$0.12Aug 21, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21?$0.21Aug 21, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21?$0.26Aug 21, 09:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 18:54 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 15:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.