Quarterly-Cornflakes
0x1b36adfb5cbe7c9f32e3dd0fe298c9f11c15586d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$99.95
Total PnL
$-191.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
106 shares @ 94.2¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$99.95
$-0.05
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
9584 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
848 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-102.60
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
249 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- YES
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?
178 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$100.17Jun 14, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?$9.90Feb 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$3.73Feb 16, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$21.31Dec 2, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$25.29Nov 28, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$25.00Nov 28, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$50.00Nov 25, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$56.00Nov 25, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$156.29Nov 25, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$89.31Nov 15, 14:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $53.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.