Slippery-Van
0x1b3d8107ea35a77ad503c36715a3430c34bf92b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dominic LeBlanc be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?$3.00Jan 20, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another party win the most seats in the next German election?$2.02Jan 20, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the most seats in the next German election?$2.70Jan 20, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?$2.07Jan 20, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.03Jan 20, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?$3.31Jan 16, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?$2.91Jan 16, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?$4.00Jan 15, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$2.07Jan 14, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?$1.00Jan 14, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?$2.00Jan 13, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Giddey lead the NBA in Assists?$1.28Jan 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Giddey lead the NBA in Assists?$1.92Jan 10, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zach LaVine lead the NBA in scoring?$1.34Jan 10, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zach LaVine lead the NBA in scoring?$2.01Jan 9, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Khabnyak win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?$1.51Jan 9, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Khabnyak win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?$2.01Jan 7, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$1.32Jan 7, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$1.76Jan 6, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valencia CF win La Liga?$1.35Jan 6, 14:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 09:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 15:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.