Pleasing-Curriculum
0x1b3f7b4fc3dd778d8bb26c1cdfe07a9cd36bb72d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$79.37
Win rate
96%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
14645 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-56.32
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
6934 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.46
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
5000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-26.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
2000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
457 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-260.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
371 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
361 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-21.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
317 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?
270 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$4.79Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Jul 5, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.05Jul 5, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.04Jul 5, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.03Jul 5, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.03Jul 5, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.05Jul 5, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$7.89Jul 5, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$2.05Jul 5, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$2.03Jul 5, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$2.02Jul 5, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$8.14Jul 5, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$2.03Jul 5, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$2.04Jul 5, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$2.04Jul 5, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Jul 5, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.77Jul 5, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Jul 5, 07:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.