Polite-Trading
0x1b42f013ac2eefbbcd47c2295ef8f2e05000fdd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$10.75
Total PnL
$-30.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.10
$1.10
- YES
Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.65
$2.65
- YES
Will Turkey leave NATO by June 30?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trent Alexander-Arnold sign with a new club during the transfer window?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Megaquake in May?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
30 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-0.36
- YES
East African countries agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before July?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
India-Pakistan declare war before June?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump suspend habeas corpus before July?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the UEFA Nations League?$1.00Jun 8, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the UEFA Nations League?$6.00Jun 8, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115k in May?$10.00May 19, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMAnother India x Pakistan ceasefire announced by Friday?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMTrump EO implementing “most favored nation” drug pricing by next Friday?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102000 and $104000 on May 16?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $98000 and $100000 on May 16?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin above $0.24 on May 16?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 12?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 275–299 times May 9–16?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 300–324 times May 9–16?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS-China trade deal before June?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$0.00May 19, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 11:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 21:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.