0x1b45e0e595275fb3b44cbb8c726a25ff812b5bf6
0x1b45e0e595275fb3b44cbb8c726a25ff812b5bf6
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$82.75
Total PnL
$-78.26
Realised
$-1.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
18 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$18.18
$2.18
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
16 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$16.02
$0.18
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
18 shares @ 51.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.70
$6.70
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.20
$2.20
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
11 shares @ 91.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$10.87
$0.97
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$5.21
$0.26
- NO
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
3 shares @ 88.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$2.60
$0.30
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.98
$-8.02
- NO
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
3300 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-19.80
- UP
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15
240 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$10.00Jan 14, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$3.00Jan 14, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$6.00Jan 14, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$9.90Nov 28, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$4.95Nov 28, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$2.97Nov 8, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$5.94Nov 8, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$4.95Nov 8, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$9.90Nov 8, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$3.05Nov 8, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.96Nov 8, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$9.90Oct 28, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$2.97Oct 28, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$4.95Oct 28, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$7.92Oct 28, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.00Oct 28, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.00Oct 27, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$16.00Oct 27, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$19.80Oct 27, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$26.04Oct 24, 00:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $7.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 00:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 22:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.