Needy-Judgment
0x1b4b89a32c3e5d5e4136c20e4d73de31e372d0ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$2.99
Total PnL
$0.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Putin remain President of Russia through June?$1.92May 23, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trzaskowski or Nawrocki win the diaspora vote?$1.00May 23, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMCanada election called by midnight?$1.45May 23, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney talk to Trump by Friday?$1.45May 23, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMGovernment coalition formed within 100 days of German election?$2.00May 23, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney talk to Trump by Friday?$1.45Apr 30, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment coalition formed within 100 days of German election?$2.00Apr 30, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada election called by midnight?$1.45Apr 30, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1.50Apr 30, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$1.56Apr 30, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1.29Mar 22, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$1.34Mar 22, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1.65Mar 22, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMGold missing from Fort Knox?$1.58Mar 22, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1.40Feb 19, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold missing from Fort Knox?$1.34Feb 19, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon be worth $500b before March?$1.31Feb 19, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMExplode App #1 utility app in January?$1.20Feb 19, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExplode App #1 utility app in January?$1.20Jan 29, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon be worth $500b before March?$1.20Jan 29, 19:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $6.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 15:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 17:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.