Revolving-Web
0x1b52dfa5da0f3e8038730313fe248b49121a47cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$82.33
Total PnL
$-659.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
30 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$30.00
$19.50
- NO
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$20.00
$2.40
- NO
U.S. Recession in 2024?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$10.00
$0.90
- NO
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House
10 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$10.00
$2.10
- YES
Will Biden finish his term?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$10.00
$1.60
- GILLEN
NY-04 election: Gillen (D) vs. D'Esposito (R)
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$2.33
$1.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
670 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-274.20
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
310 shares @ 68.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-213.33
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
100 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.84Nov 6, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$8.94Nov 6, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.58Nov 6, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$17.20Nov 6, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20.15Nov 6, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$35.40Nov 5, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$18.95Nov 5, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$35.55Nov 5, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$36.05Nov 5, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$38.10Nov 5, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Caitlin Clark endorse Kamala Harris?$0.00Nov 5, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEM2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$0.00Nov 5, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala go on Lex Fridman podcast?$0.00Nov 5, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMJD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?$0.00Nov 5, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Travis Kelce endorse Kamala Harris?$0.00Nov 5, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMTrump fires campaign manager? $0.00Nov 5, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sentenced to no prison time?$10.00Nov 5, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?$20.00Nov 5, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWho will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?$0.00Nov 2, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS GDP declines in Q3 2024?$10.00Nov 2, 23:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $10.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 00:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.