Flickering-Shed-Capital
0x1b5afa51411634e096eb4b281a7694d49df00bac
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$87.95
Total PnL
$-108.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
818 shares @ 9.1¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$64.22
$-10.09
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
174 shares @ 2.9¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.11
$5.11
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
41 shares @ 12.1¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.07
$4.07
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 14?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 13?
395 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.20
$-0.80
- NO
Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
47 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.14
$-0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 13?$1.05Jun 14, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.03Jun 14, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 14?$1.05Jun 14, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 14, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$19.98Jun 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$1.03Jun 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$10.00Jun 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$1.00Jun 13, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$5.14Jun 13, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.03Jun 13, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$10.23Jun 13, 00:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.98Jun 11, 05:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$1.04Jun 10, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?$10.26Jun 10, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10?$13.50Jun 10, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $11.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 07:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 01:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.