Well-Informed-Ambiguity
0x1b5f1570c0e59eb886edc5c37433a51ccf4c43d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$91.09
Total PnL
$-9.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?
91 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$91.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 16?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on March 22?
530 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 29?
501 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on October 23?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on October 23?
332 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by October 31?
57 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?$91.00Jun 6, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?$91.09Jun 6, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?$91.00May 27, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$91.09May 26, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$91.00May 22, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?$91.09May 22, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?$91.01May 17, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 11?$91.09May 17, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 11?$91.00May 11, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?$91.09May 11, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?$91.00May 10, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?$91.09May 10, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?$91.01May 6, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?$91.09May 6, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?$91.01May 2, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26?$91.08May 2, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26?$91.00Apr 25, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 20?$90.08Apr 25, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 20?$90.00Apr 20, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16?$90.17Apr 20, 11:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $84.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 08:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 07:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.