Private-Unemployment
0x1b67faed50daebc44fd94c7a63f825b474a16df6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$12.7K
Realised
$21.3K
Win rate
97%
115 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
1585 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-99.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
1200 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-579.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
1200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
1200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-59.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
1200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-59.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
1200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-59.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
1143 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-57.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
1121 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-437.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1100 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-48.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
1100 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-57.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$0.90Apr 1, 05:24 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$30.00Mar 31, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$4.72Mar 31, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$5.06Mar 31, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$11.04Mar 31, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$6.78Mar 31, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.86Mar 31, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$0.24Mar 31, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.90Mar 31, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$76.30Mar 31, 08:24 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$100.00Mar 31, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$96.00Mar 31, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$3.00Mar 31, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.10Mar 31, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$100.50Mar 31, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$124.80Mar 31, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.51Mar 31, 07:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
97% win rate over 115 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
115 closed markets, 97% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $20.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 12:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 05:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 115 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.