Simplistic-Casualty
0x1b6d9a5079bca792671ee7877540a95708a6e819
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-118.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
5316 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
2920 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-38.75
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
612 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-39.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$19.80Jun 25, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$18.97Jun 25, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$20.00Jun 25, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$20.00Jun 25, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$20.00Jun 25, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$19.78Jun 25, 05:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $19.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 05:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".