Offensive-Hall
0x1b6ddf8dc5f935678d56d5ecb42941d7999b48e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
9030 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-251.63
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
6744 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-249.99
- YES
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?
3363 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2543 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
2520 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Germany vs. Luxembourg end in a draw?
2415 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-94.00
- NO
Will Germany win on 2025-10-10?
2113 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
1854 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?
669 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$251.63Apr 12, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$100.00Nov 4, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$100.00Nov 4, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.27Oct 29, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Luxembourg end in a draw?$94.00Oct 10, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2025-10-10?$100.00Oct 10, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$150.00Oct 9, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$118.95Oct 8, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150k in October?$100.00Oct 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$100.00Oct 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$100.00Oct 3, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$100.00Oct 3, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.81Oct 3, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?$373.77Jul 14, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?$100.00Jul 10, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?$0.00Jul 10, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?$0.00Jul 10, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$100.00Jul 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?$100.00Jul 10, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$100.00Jul 10, 15:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $113.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 19:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 18:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.