Disastrous-Buffer
0x1b716b3e22e2781d1f04fe6c1e12b222a8c017df
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cedrek McFadden win Survivor 48?$1.20May 6, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill zero QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.48Apr 6, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill zero QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?$0.98Apr 6, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Green Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$1.01Mar 29, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$1.01Mar 29, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLJay-Z in jail before April?$1.14Mar 22, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYJay-Z in jail before April?$1.14Mar 22, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SBF launch a coin before April?$0.99Mar 21, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SBF launch a coin before April?$1.13Mar 21, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Will Campbell be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.08Mar 20, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Will Campbell be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.08Mar 20, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by March 31?$1.05Mar 19, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by March 31?$1.20Mar 19, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Purdue win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$1.06Mar 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Purdue win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$1.42Mar 17, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Olise be the top Champions League scorer?$1.81Mar 16, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise be the top Champions League scorer?$1.81Mar 16, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 11:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.