0x1b722c160f3c64bdbf5093146e886d94506b42b9
0x1b722c160f3c64bdbf5093146e886d94506b42b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$46.95
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 29?
63 shares @ 47.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$38.12
$8.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 29?
63 shares @ 26.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$8.51
$-7.87
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 29?
60 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.33
$-17.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 17?
136 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-44.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 20?
132 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-39.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 20?
132 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-44.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 11?
125 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 23?
125 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-22.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?
125 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 15?
121 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-32.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 30?$16.41Jul 29, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on July 30?$18.15Jul 29, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 28?$13.33Jul 29, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 28?$42.00Jul 29, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 28?$66.00Jul 29, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?$25.64Jul 29, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 28?$45.00Jul 28, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 28?$39.00Jul 28, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 29?$11.76Jul 28, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 30?$7.63Jul 28, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 30?$18.50Jul 28, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 29?$30.39Jul 28, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 29?$16.99Jul 28, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 29?$1.40Jul 28, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 29?$1.72Jul 28, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 29?$2.84Jul 28, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 29?$1.63Jul 28, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 29?$1.75Jul 28, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 29?$1.21Jul 28, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 29?$0.60Jul 28, 03:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $8.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.