Superficial-Expectation
0x1b7c5634e7b7d96e5f679dde9a4e50a8bf0cd91b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$18.33
Total PnL
$-69.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
333 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.33
$-11.67
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
966 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?
773 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-48.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$0.00Apr 23, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.00Apr 10, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?$48.16Apr 6, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$20.00Apr 6, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 6, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$40.00Apr 6, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 6, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$100.00Apr 6, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $38.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 14:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.