Unwilling-Perfection
0x1b7ea7350948e50d55da7b6316aeecc5930979e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.0K
Realised
$-78.38
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
5188 shares @ 77.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
3209 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?
3110 shares @ 70.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
1893 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-798.51
- NO
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?
1446 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- COMESANA
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Juncheng Shang vs Francisco Comesana
1304 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on March 31?
1270 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-630.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
852 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- ZARAZUA
ASB Classic: Xinyu Wang vs Renata Zarazua
781 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-140.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
674 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.09Jun 25, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$13.64Jun 24, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$12.10Jun 24, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$10.42Jun 24, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$10.03Jun 24, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.86Jun 24, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$10.39Jun 24, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.00Jun 24, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$10.50Jun 24, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$25.77Jun 24, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$25.05Jun 24, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$25.00Jun 24, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$7.06Jun 24, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$4.19Jun 24, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$11.25Jun 24, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$11.25Jun 24, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$10.69Jun 24, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$10.46Jun 24, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$25.00Jun 24, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.64Jun 24, 07:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 06:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.