Lumpy-Labourer
0x1b927904a09dd22d51562435efb7b97e1ff3da46
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-198.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 1PM ET
4500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
4500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
2087 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
1750 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
619 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
526 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-21?
357 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
308 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.24
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?
264 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.40
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
202 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.00Apr 27, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$48.00Apr 27, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$9.00Mar 28, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation by March 31?$9.00Mar 3, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$10.00Feb 1, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "APT. - Rosé & Bruno Mars" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$18.55Feb 1, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$5.00Feb 1, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.24Feb 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "APT. - Rosé & Bruno Mars" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$21.00Feb 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$0.30Feb 1, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$3.00Jan 31, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 31, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 30, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 30, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 30, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.40Jan 30, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Too late" during January press conference?$1.00Jan 28, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$5.00Jan 26, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$10.00Jan 26, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$16.95Jan 26, 14:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $8.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 12:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 12:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".