Playful-Earthquake
0x1ba33efc41ae3293f5665784cbc2c8a795c3bef6
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$10.14
Total PnL
$-154.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
29 shares @ 68.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.14
$-9.86
- NO
Over $800K committed to the Cambria public sale?
1236 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?
184 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-79.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
78 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-33.49
- NO
Ethereum above $3,600 on July 30?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - September 16, 1AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $210 July 21–27?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOver $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$34.00Mar 16, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?$20.00Mar 7, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMOver $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?$108.44Mar 4, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?$19.05Mar 4, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $800K committed to the Cambria public sale?$2.00Mar 4, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $800K committed to the Cambria public sale?$5.00Mar 4, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?$55.00Mar 4, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?$30.00Mar 4, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?$50.00Mar 4, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?$5.00Mar 4, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?$166.05Mar 4, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?$166.72Mar 1, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMFlying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$155.76Feb 25, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$150.00Feb 23, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?$10.61Feb 23, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?$150.00Feb 11, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLOpinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$155.35Feb 10, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLOpinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$91.71Feb 10, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$49.40Feb 10, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$50.00Feb 3, 07:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $36.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 03:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".