Grotesque-Manicure
0x1ba85c93c546d30358a41c6941de6d9848352cc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$6.3K
Total PnL
$-171.62
Realised
$-38.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5000 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.9K
$81.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 13?
501 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$500.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$492.25
$7.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?
322 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$322.17
$0.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 17?
68 shares @ 99.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-67.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 24?
62 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-61.43
- NO
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
51 shares @ 97.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?
25 shares @ 99.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-24.77
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 13?$252.07Jun 13, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C or higher on June 13?$47.00Jun 13, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 13?$20.00Jun 13, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 13?$98.71Jun 13, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 13?$456.23Jun 13, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 13?$14.96Jun 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 13?$11.94Jun 13, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 13?$4.97Jun 13, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 13?$11.94Jun 13, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 13?$139.37Jun 13, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 13?$0.45Jun 13, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 13?$5.47Jun 13, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 13?$93.05Jun 13, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 13?$4.95Jun 13, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 13?$14.86Jun 13, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?$9.98Jun 13, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?$29.94Jun 13, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13?$251.95Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?$14.97Jun 13, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C or higher on June 13?$4.99Jun 13, 10:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $46.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 03:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.