Tall-Auditorium
0x1baf5ad76ed0eb420971ee855ef4907e4e13b2d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$6.21
Total PnL
$-20.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will One Battle After Another be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Jan 31, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 19, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 16, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.04Jan 4, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.07Jan 4, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$3.05Jan 4, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.01Dec 10, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.00Dec 10, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Dec 3, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $300 in November?$1.00Dec 3, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$1.03Dec 3, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.03Dec 3, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.03Nov 26, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$1.06Nov 26, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 26, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$1.00Nov 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 17, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?$1.01Nov 15, 06:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $50.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 03:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.