Dead-Fine
0x1bb41a263a0934fa14491890e9b36938a988224c
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-103.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on July 17 at 5PM ET?
128 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-42.35
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
75 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-30.86
- NO
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
34 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-29.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLionel Messi: 2+ goals$0.04Jun 22, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals$30.06Jun 22, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLLionel Messi: 2+ goals$29.82Jun 22, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals$46.79Jun 22, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLLionel Messi: 2+ goals$30.64Jun 22, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals$35.00Jun 22, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?$51.24Jun 22, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$31.59Jun 21, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?$15.43Jun 21, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMChristian Pulisic: 1+ assists$47.16Jun 19, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYChristian Pulisic: 1+ assists$47.07Jun 19, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$8.64Jun 19, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 19, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMHarry Kane: 3+ goals$1.27Jun 17, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 3+ goals$1.01Jun 17, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow Six Siege: Virtus.pro vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage$48.10Jun 16, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: Virtus.pro vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage$23.83Jun 16, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on July 17 at 5PM ET?$42.35Jul 17, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on July 16?$42.35Jul 17, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on July 16?$15.67Jul 13, 19:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $24.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 22:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 18:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.