Different-Brace
0x1bb5c8a23ec429e89e3eab9989752c2e582711ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-211.29
Win rate
0%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?
6944 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$239.58
$-10.42
- YES
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
6757 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$219.59
$-30.40
- YES
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?
6552 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$206.38
$-14.30
- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5608 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$176.67
$-161.88
- YES
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
10000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$175.00
$65.01
- YES
Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?
1021 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Sep 25, 2026$42.39
$-59.75
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4481 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-286.79
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3865 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-65.70
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3523 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-94.37
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3399 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-397.94
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.07Aug 5, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$147.31Aug 4, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.27Aug 4, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$1.70Aug 3, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$10.81Aug 3, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen$128.93Jul 31, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen$204.90Jul 31, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?$115.44Jul 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.05Jul 17, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$5.30Jul 17, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.07Jul 17, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.07Jul 17, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.07Jul 17, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$0.07Jul 17, 01:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$3.23Jul 16, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$23.10Jul 16, 09:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $94.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.