Mindless-Necessity
0x1bbc54390e1e095b3559a8515776b541422c036e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-244.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)
188 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-92.12
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 11PM ET
167 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-83.50
- YES
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80?
142 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-68.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?
9 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$30.00Jul 3, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$14.92Jul 3, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.02Mar 25, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.02Mar 25, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 18?$23.00Mar 19, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 19?$35.89Mar 19, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80?$4.32Mar 19, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80?$20.64Mar 19, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80?$20.64Mar 19, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80?$12.96Mar 19, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80?$9.60Mar 19, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 19?$32.30Mar 19, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 18?$17.25Mar 18, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 17?$13.00Mar 17, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-10.5)$6.86Mar 17, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-10.5)$11.27Mar 17, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-10.5)$21.56Mar 17, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-10.5)$42.63Mar 17, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-10.5)$9.80Mar 17, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?$29.00Mar 17, 08:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $27.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 05:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 05:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.