Sure-Footed-Contractor
0x1bbda4b20dd19b6c24d2f2e9ce65e7dc09551a47
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-82.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 24?
224 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
197 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 23?
195 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on March 3?
191 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?
180 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 4?
177 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 3?
176 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 12?
176 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 24?
174 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 28?
165 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 15?$233.60Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 15?$231.03Jul 14, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 2?$1.94Jun 1, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29?$221.13May 29, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29?$0.36May 29, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29?$217.90May 29, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 31, 11AM ET$19.44May 29, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 15?$44.65May 22, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 18?$2.38May 17, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?$49.90May 14, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 12?$1.69May 12, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 7?$1.21May 7, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 11?$190.83May 7, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 24?$0.00Apr 27, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 4?$0.00Apr 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 15?$27.90Apr 15, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 15?$13.71Apr 15, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 11?$188.54Apr 11, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 28?$233.31Apr 11, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 31, 11AM ET$13.46Mar 31, 15:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $38.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.