Ample-Feedback
0x1bc87b4c4be1cc25f045f15fc7a7491e6c68a46b
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$255.98
Total PnL
$-225.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$83.33
$73.33
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.00
$-65.00
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: Other
5818 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$32.00
$12.00
- YES
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$27.57
$26.57
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$23.81
$18.81
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
1089 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$17.97
$-2.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 14?
14 shares @ 6.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$14.49
$13.49
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
308 shares @ 13.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$13.69
$-26.31
- YES
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.11
$-11.89
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.