0x1bcea794c358963db940c2dc6e9d5394d55876fc
0x1bcea794c358963db940c2dc6e9d5394d55876fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$25.47
Total PnL
$3.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?
10 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$9.86
$0.16
- NO
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$8.47
$3.47
- YES
Will Biden finish his term?
5 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$5.35
$0.15
- NO
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$1.79
$0.79
- NO
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,300 on January 17?$1.00Jan 11, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump appeal his hush money conviction?$9.70Jan 11, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?$0.00Jan 11, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMNo Ethereum all time high in 2024?$0.00Jan 11, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$5.62Jan 11, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana hit $250 in December?$0.00Jan 11, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$5.04Jan 11, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? $5.15Jan 11, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?$1.00Dec 27, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$5.20Dec 27, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? $5.00Dec 21, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$5.00Dec 21, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $250 in December?$5.00Dec 12, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?$0.00Dec 12, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $245 on December 6?$0.00Dec 12, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$7.46Dec 12, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$10.00Dec 2, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMIran strike on Israel before December?$6.33Dec 2, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$6.58Dec 2, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?$5.00Nov 30, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $5.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".