0x1bd00cdf9511f9450e488be8cdd33ead4a2c965d
0x1bd00cdf9511f9450e488be8cdd33ead4a2c965d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- IMPERIAL
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: B8 vs. Imperial
980 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2025$0.00
$-411.60
- YES
Will Susan Crawford win by 2-4%?
880 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-96.80
- NO
Will Musk say "Rare Earth" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?
760 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2025$0.00
$-585.20
- NO
Will Trump announce tariffs on South Korea on April 2?
570 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-142.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1 PM ET
405 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-202.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (8 AM ET Candle)
245 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2025$0.00
$-122.50
- HERBERT
Jai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla
220 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- NO
Will JD Vance say "Gold" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?
40 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2025$0.00
$-15.20
- NO
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Will Ross Ulbricht say "FBI" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "Germany" 7+ times during Merz events on June 5?$1.75Jun 4, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Germany" 7+ times during Merz events on June 5?$1.80Jun 4, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate say "COVID" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?$1.70Jun 3, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate say "COVID" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?$1.60Jun 3, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: B8 vs. Imperial$411.60Jun 3, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1 PM ET$202.50Jun 3, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11 PM ET$610.00Jun 3, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?$5.00Jun 3, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11 PM ET$172.50Jun 2, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11 PM ET$132.50Jun 2, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on June 1?$305.00Jun 2, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?$1.40May 31, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on June 1?$152.50May 31, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ross Ulbricht say "A.I / Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$152.78May 30, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on May 29 at 5 PM ET?$2.10May 29, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Ulbricht say "FBI" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$1.25May 29, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on May 29 at 5 PM ET?$1.75May 29, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ross Ulbricht say "A.I / Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?$67.22May 29, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$65.00May 29, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "China" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$5.00May 29, 05:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $91.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 09:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.