Ill-Humor
0x1bd05f95050f58a35fd0c69573109a6adab9046f
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$10.65
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-4.19
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
100 shares @ 2.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$3.54
$1.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 5?
40 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$2.60
$-0.60
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.82
$-0.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
70 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.80
$-0.94
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
101 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.56
$-1.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.15
$-1.25
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?
100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.15
$-0.75
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?
100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.10
$-0.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 3?$10.0032m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.0554m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?$1.021h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 5?$0.521h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?$0.811h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?$3.271h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 5?$3.402h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 5?$0.842h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 5?$3.202h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 5?$1.682h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 5?$1.682h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 4?$3.402h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 4?$3.402h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 5?$1.672h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 5?$1.702h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?$2.452h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on May 5?$0.722h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?$5.022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 4?$6.182h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 3?$20.003h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 14h ago
- Last active
- 32m ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".