Sad-Minister
0x1be3208f64ae97bce9ad7305e8a194447849b98f
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$5.24
Total PnL
$-32.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 9?$1.00Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 4?$1.00Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?$1.00Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,400 December 1-7?$1.00Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 10?$1.00Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 7?$1.00Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?$1.01Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chris Moneymaker win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.01Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 25?$1.01Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.02Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?$1.02Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.03Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?$1.05Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.08Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$1.11Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 22?$1.28Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 24?$1.30Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 6?$2.00Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 2?$2.01Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$2.06Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 02:57 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 04:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".