Beautiful-Anger
0x1be9fe33942d12f0e7624465e34647f7c28a7ffe
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$4.18
Total PnL
$-75.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
8 shares @ 89.5¢·now 53.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.18
$-2.82
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
11 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
9 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.89
- YES
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
9 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
7 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.98
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
6 shares @ 96.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?$11.83Jul 22, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMIran full airspace closure by July 21?$11.70Jul 22, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?$11.00Jul 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 21?$11.00Jul 20, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$13.40Jul 10, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$8.42Jul 7, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$8.02Jul 3, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$7.02Jul 3, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$13.02Jul 3, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.68Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.33Jun 28, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.32Jun 26, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.03Jun 21, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.05Jun 21, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.07Jun 21, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$8.39Jun 18, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$8.51Jun 15, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$8.40Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$8.02Jun 12, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$8.02Jun 12, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $8.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 10:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.