Defiant-Vengeance
0x1bf4dea989da7e6eb29894007e9c58f57944418d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$9.65
Total PnL
$-10.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.39
$1.39
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.98
$0.98
- YES
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?
2 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$1.67
$1.37
- NO
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.61
$0.61
- NO
Trump cuts taxes in 2025?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump-Putin-Xi meeting before July?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Elon no longer world's richest before July?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on March 15?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$1.00Mar 13, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?$2.00Mar 13, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?$2.00Mar 13, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$2.00Mar 13, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$2.00Mar 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released in 2025?$2.00Mar 13, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Putin-Xi meeting before July?$1.00Mar 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon no longer world's richest before July?$1.00Mar 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump cuts taxes in 2025?$1.00Mar 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on March 15?$2.00Mar 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 14?$2.10Mar 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$13.08Mar 13, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 by February 28, 2025?$0.00Mar 13, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump save TikTok in first week?$0.00Mar 13, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $240 on February 7?$0.00Mar 13, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$0.00Mar 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?$1.00Feb 2, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 by February 28, 2025?$1.00Feb 2, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $240 on February 7?$1.00Feb 2, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$5.00Feb 2, 20:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 18:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 17:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.