Hilarious-Tarragon
0x1bf8b5f12744f46d697cbc4ca87e12ee77e1e594
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$15.78
Total PnL
$-4.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.42
$5.42
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- YES
Will Taylor Swift say "Swiftie" 5+ times on The Late Show on December 10?
216 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$0.00Jan 14, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on the West Bank by December 31?$0.00Jan 14, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$5.03Jan 14, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on the West Bank by December 31?$5.95Jan 14, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?$24.69Dec 26, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?$20.00Dec 11, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on the West Bank by December 31?$5.00Dec 11, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$5.00Dec 11, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$5.00Dec 11, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift say "Swiftie" 5+ times on The Late Show on December 10?$5.00Dec 11, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$5.00Dec 11, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$5.00Dec 11, 12:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $7.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 12:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 07:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".