Periodic-Giant
0x1c087c6ae0d973f6493e7ef3c53aed59810a1ff6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$91.35
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-40.17
Win rate
0%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
144 shares @ 57.8¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$71.11
$-11.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
38 shares @ 31.8¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$20.20
$8.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
80 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.04
$-33.96
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
494 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 12?
300 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-124.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
126 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET
110 shares @ 92.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-101.99
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
86 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.00Aug 15, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.00Aug 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.00Aug 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.03Aug 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.02Aug 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.02Aug 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.03Aug 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.04Aug 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.06Aug 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.05Aug 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.05Aug 15, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.07Aug 15, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.06Aug 15, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.07Aug 15, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$2.04Aug 15, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$13.44Aug 15, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$31.04Aug 15, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$4.23Aug 15, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$4.16Aug 15, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$4.13Aug 15, 20:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
36 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 20:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 21:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.