Simple-Collectivization
0x1c0bb6056e4760cda3b76be160ba8f60b2d755e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$263.68
Total PnL
$-104.86
Realised
$-2.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?
170 shares @ 79.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$164.05
$28.39
- NO
Will Hunter Gordon advance to the general election for WA-01?
42 shares @ 89.8¢·now 61.6¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$25.87
$-11.84
- NO
Will Melissa Chaudhry advance to the general election for WA-09?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$18.80
$0.60
- YES
Will Hunter Goodman hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$13.30
$-3.90
- YES
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?
40 shares @ 87.1¢·now 30.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$12.10
$-22.72
- NO
Will Marriott (MAR) Q2 worldwide RevPAR be above $139?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$8.90
$-8.30
- NO
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
11 shares @ 81.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$8.36
$-0.21
- YES
Will Natus Vincere Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.02
$-1.98
- NO
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
20 shares @ 22.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.70
$-1.70
- YES
Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
20 shares @ 17.0¢·now 4.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2028$0.92
$-2.48
Recent activity
- REWARD$3.19Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Voter ID" during Tele-Rally?$18.60Jul 28, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Knokke-Heist: Tilwith Di Girolami vs Justina Mikulskyte$3.82Jul 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Knokke-Heist: Tilwith Di Girolami vs Justina Mikulskyte$6.32Jul 28, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Knokke-Heist: Tilwith Di Girolami vs Justina Mikulskyte$7.11Jul 28, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$13.20Jul 28, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by 3–4%?$0.00Jul 28, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by 2–3%?$0.00Jul 28, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Melat Kiros win the CO-01 Democratic primary by less than 5%?$0.00Jul 28, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by more than 4%?$0.00Jul 28, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$14.40Jul 28, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 26 and 27 million views on day 3?$16.00Jul 28, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$14.60Jul 28, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 26 and 27 million views on day 3?$16.00Jul 28, 06:04 UTC
- REWARD$6.91Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marriott (MAR) Q2 worldwide RevPAR be above $139?$17.20Jul 27, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marriott (MAR) Q2 worldwide RevPAR be above $143.5?$4.00Jul 27, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$6.20Jul 27, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Final" or "Last" during Rick and Morty E10 S9?$0.00Jul 27, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "God" 5+ times during House of the Dragon E6 S3?$0.00Jul 27, 10:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $9.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 05:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.