Joyful-Fluke
0x1c0f61bcba5d7b8e06994aff4f0cc06e928fb860
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$16.20
Total PnL
$-11.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?
15 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.09
$0.09
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-04?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-10-01?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Harvard international students ban ended before August?
4 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?$15.00May 19, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$11.24May 19, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tencent have the best AI model on October 31?$125.39Oct 20, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Yemen 4 times by October 31?$166.52Oct 20, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen 4 times by October 31?$168.60Oct 19, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$11.00Oct 19, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tencent have the best AI model on October 31?$386.63Oct 19, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tencent have the best AI model on October 31?$512.53Oct 19, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?$4.00Oct 19, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-10-01?$2.00Oct 1, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?$2.00Oct 1, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-04?$1.00Oct 1, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.00Oct 1, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel annex Gazan territory before July?$1.09Oct 1, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xi visit the US before September?$1.14Oct 1, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Epstein files made public in June?$2.08Oct 1, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMAnother SpaceX Dragon x NASA mission to the ISS in 2025?$2.17Oct 1, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarvard international students ban ended before August?$3.00Jun 6, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Epstein files made public in June?$2.00Jun 6, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi visit the US before September?$1.00Jun 6, 12:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $47.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 10:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 12:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.