Alarming-Notepad
0x1c1675a7c3662131acfd00aaabcbc97a6a4f45e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$12.82
Total PnL
$-20.0K
Realised
$-5.43
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
503 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.28
$1.09
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
247 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.61
$-2.25
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
247 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.36
$-2.50
- YES
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
149 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.12
$0.03
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
149 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.12
$0.03
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
125 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.81
$-0.11
- YES
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
247 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.62
$-3.24
- YES
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
247 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.62
$-3.24
- YES
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
247 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.37
$-3.48
- YES
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
247 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.37
$-3.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$0.01May 22, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 260,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$0.01May 22, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on May 22?$0.00May 22, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at >$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$0.01May 22, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C or below on May 22?$0.01May 22, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on May 22?$0.01May 22, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at <$245 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$0.01May 22, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 Week of May 18 2026?$0.00May 22, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on May 22?$0.01May 22, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 23?$0.01May 22, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or below on May 23?$0.01May 22, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 22?$0.01May 22, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 22?$0.01May 22, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on May 22?$0.01May 22, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on May 22?$0.01May 22, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 23?$0.01May 22, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands) be part of the next Government of Denmark?$0.01May 22, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on May 22?$0.01May 22, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 23?$0.00May 22, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 22?$0.01May 22, 00:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 00:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 01:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".