Unhealthy-Smith
0x1c24f8f116b142641ee37fca31940856783f91db
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-560.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
6680 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-101.64
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Tesla reach $480 in November?
837 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
600 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
478 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?
390 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-50.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?
304 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?
233 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?$5.22Jul 14, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?$5.23Jul 14, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$10.00Jul 14, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 1+ goals AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Will England win on 2026-07-15? AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?$4.99Jul 14, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?$1.11Jul 12, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?$5.23Jul 12, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?$5.22Jul 12, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?$6.53Jul 12, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?$7.01Jul 12, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?$5.22Jul 11, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?$5.22Jul 11, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?$5.22Jul 11, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?$5.23Jul 11, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?$10.48Jul 11, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$80.00Feb 19, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$60.00Feb 8, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$54.00Dec 5, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla reach $480 in November?$60.00Nov 20, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?$0.00Nov 14, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?$400.00Nov 14, 16:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $41.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 01:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 15:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.