Knobby-Derivative
0x1c269e49578a5a4bf78168dbe3e679c989e9287c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?
28287 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?
22432 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
14721 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?
8905 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
7632 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
4150 shares @ 72.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
3269 shares @ 61.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by August 31?
2907 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Sumy before October?
1946 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will AOC lead House oversight committee?
1933 shares @ 51.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Udachne by August 31?$1.6KAug 24, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?$1.0KAug 12, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dobropillia by August 31?$1000.00Aug 12, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Siversk by August 31?$4.0KAug 12, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31?$300.00Aug 12, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dobropillia by August 20?$100.00Aug 12, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Siversk by August 31?$1000.00Aug 12, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?$1.0KAug 12, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?$2.0KAug 12, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?$4.0KAug 12, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?$500.00Aug 12, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?$2.0KAug 12, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Udachne by August 31?$1.0KAug 12, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sumy before October?$100.00Aug 12, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?$3.0KAug 12, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?$1000.00Aug 12, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?$1000.00Aug 12, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?$23.9KAug 8, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?$12.4KAug 2, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$12.4KAug 2, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 23:02 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 24, 03:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".