0x1c29a72f6cd8496735f0619939c55498d09fd294
0x1c29a72f6cd8496735f0619939c55498d09fd294
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
91
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-236.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or below on May 26?
3516 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.52
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Thunder
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 17?
95 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on May 26?
54 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-09?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Suns
24 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or below on May 26?$0.10May 26, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or below on May 26?$0.01May 25, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on May 26?$0.95May 25, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or below on May 26?$0.65May 25, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on May 26?$1.05May 25, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or below on May 26?$1.05May 25, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or below on May 26?$1.05May 25, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or below on May 26?$1.05May 25, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?$1.05May 24, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYChelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5$6.04May 16, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYChelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5$5.06May 16, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spurs (-5.5)$8.43May 16, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-5.5)$5.07May 15, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 17?$1.05May 14, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 15?$1.05May 14, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5$5.56May 14, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-13?$4.63May 13, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5$3.54May 13, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-13?$3.08May 13, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?$6.11May 13, 22:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 04:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 01:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.