Wet-Harvester
0x1c2bbe815bd6f82065d42f611523dfb1ac0eb200
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
10835 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-432.69
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 3PM ET
3759 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-402.70
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
3333 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Ethereum above $4400 on September 8?
2000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 2PM ET
1762 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-296.08
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 12PM ET
420 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-135.66
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 1PM ET
334 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-100.22
- YES
Will Trump say "Heaven" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?
214 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$132.12Oct 10, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$607.91Oct 9, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$300.58Oct 4, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$255.00Oct 4, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$105.05Sep 15, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$50.00Sep 15, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$140.00Sep 14, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$300.00Sep 14, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?$939.80Sep 14, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?$530.00Sep 14, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-13?$530.75Sep 13, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-13?$340.02Sep 12, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLRays vs. White Sox$340.02Sep 11, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRays vs. White Sox$279.10Sep 11, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLPirates vs. Orioles$279.10Sep 11, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPirates vs. Orioles$188.46Sep 11, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Bin Laden" during September?$188.46Sep 11, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$425.35Sep 9, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 8, 3PM ET$83.82Sep 8, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 8, 3PM ET$105.76Sep 8, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $205.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 7, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 06:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.