Pointless-Giant
0x1c2fce0df170368e79ed17c8e06c02bb5ac9c379
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$69.00
Total PnL
$5.87
Realised
$-0.17
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Sweden leading at halftime?
21 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.00
$2.10
- NO
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?
19 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$19.00
$1.52
- NO
Iraq leading at halftime?
16 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$16.00
$1.12
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?
13 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$13.00
$1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?$17.52Jul 6, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden leading at halftime?$18.96Jun 30, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$11.74Jun 25, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIraq leading at halftime?$14.91Jun 16, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMIndonesia vs. Oman: O/U 0.5$14.00Jun 11, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndonesia vs. Oman: O/U 0.5$12.91Jun 5, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?$0.00Jun 5, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC 0 - 0 Dalian Yingbo FC?$18.00Jun 5, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?$9.50May 25, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC 0 - 0 Dalian Yingbo FC?$16.95May 19, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stuttgart win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$0.00May 19, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Athletic Club win on 2026-05-12?$14.00May 19, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)$14.97May 19, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2026-05-12?$13.18May 12, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)$13.95Apr 24, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 11?$74.46Mar 10, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 11?$39.44Mar 10, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$43.17Mar 10, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$25.57Mar 10, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$75.00Mar 10, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $341.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.