Informal-Spectacle
0x1c3464ecfa5c7234540e00557590e635919b6571
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$1.65
Total PnL
$-82.40
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
8 shares @ 24.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.15
$-0.79
- YES
Will Sagan Tosu win on 2026-05-16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- RAFAEL JODAR
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi
1340 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ZDENEK KOLAR
Oeiras 4: Zdenek Kolar vs Hugo Dellien
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- GRIGOR DIMITROV
Bordeaux: Martin Damm vs Grigor Dimitrov
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$5.32May 16, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$5.02May 16, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$3.33May 16, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$4.12May 16, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$3.02May 16, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$4.01May 16, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$3.61May 16, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.63May 16, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$3.04May 16, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$3.45May 16, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.03May 16, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$2.11May 16, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$3.03May 16, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$3.23May 16, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$2.01May 16, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$3.01May 16, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$3.33May 16, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$3.03May 16, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$4.05May 16, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$3.02May 16, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 08:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".