Sugary-Facelift
0x1c34e8d6cd72a330fa484ffbbbe1038dbd24097e
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$50.67
Total PnL
$-304.66
Realised
$2.58
Win rate
5%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$21.88
$1.88
- NO
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.20
$1.20
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.06
$1.06
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.41
$-1.59
- YES
Will Manuel Gavira be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
115 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- FUT ESPORTS
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs
81 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- LEVIATÁN ESPORTS
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
79 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-37.32
- BARÇA ESPORTS
Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group D
75 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-59.68
- MIBR
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
59 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 31, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.